The U.S. forecasters have recently predicted that the current year may experience the above-average hurricane season. Reports say the Atlantic Ocean could face 11 to 17 storms and 9 hurricanes.
The forecasters say the probable absence of the El Nino must be a big reason for the above-average hurricane season. El Nino plays an important role in reducing the chances of hurricanes as it bears a specific trend of ocean warming. But, this year the expected absence of this abnormal weather pattern can lead to a good number of storms and hurricanes. That means the Atlantic Ocean may experience another hurricane season.
The increasing temperature of the sea surface is another important factor that could increase the number of storms and hurricanes this year. Even comparatively weak vertical winds that shear across the Caribbean Sea and the tropical Atlantic Ocean also play a significant role in this field. Normally, one average season sees twelve named storms and six of them become hurricanes, Phys.org reported.
Gerry Bell, the lead seasonal hurricane forecaster, expects a non-existent or weak El Nino. Bell is currently associated with the Climate Prediction Center of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration or NOAA. This year the Atlantic hurricane season will start from June 1 and it will continue till November 30. That means once again the Atlantic Ocean will go through a good number of storms during the said time period.
According to CNN, the prediction of the above-normal storm activity will probably put the coastal residents on edge. The current year marks the 25th anniversary of the Hurricane Andrew. Hurricane Andrew is still regarded as a major devastating storm. Now the announcement of the NOAA indicates that the Atlantic Ocean could also face the above-normal hurricane season in the running year.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration NOAA reports that prediction of the U.S. forecasters reveals 70 percent probability of 11 to 17 named storms. NOAA also refers the tropical storms that will produce wind of 39 miles per hour or higher. Now, nine out of the said 11 to 17 storms could acquire the shape of hurricanes with winds of 74 miles per hour or higher. So there is a strong feasibility that the Atlantic Ocean could face hurricanes with strong wind.
Even out of the probable nine hurricanes 2 to 4 may avail the shape of Category 3 with strong winds of 111 miles per hour or higher. Surprisingly the Atlantic Ocean has already witnessed the Tropical Storm Arlene in April. No Doubt formation of the tropical storm in April is rare.